INVENTORY STORAGE? Proceed with caution.
Since 2017, days of inventory have increased for manufacturing firms nationwide, which means inventory storage has also increased. Days of Inventory in 2019 hit 59, up from 53 in 2018, and 51 in 2017. Mathematically, a decrease in the cost of sales could be causing this. COGS have actually increased slightly from 75.80% of revenue in 2017 to 75.98% in 2019. This indicates that firms have an increasing amount of inventory. Assuming this is not an over-production issue, firms are not selling as much as years prior.
This could be interpreted as a sign of economic slowdown, even before the Covid-19 storm made landfall. The increase in inventory may lead some businesses to think that they need additional space, which they may have a legitimate need for, but if the underlying reason is because of a weaker economic environment, the right course of action for the business to take might not be committing to a new long-term lease. Companies that absolutely need to move product offsite may want to explore third-party warehousing as an option. It is not as cost-effective as leasing traditional warehouse space on a per square foot basis, but allows the end-user the flexibility to change on a month-to-month time horizon.
The global health crisis has further complicated the situation. Some manufacturers now cannot keep enough stock to satisfy their customer’s needs. This may temporarily reduce the need for additional storage, even though it would be financially feasible. As with most circumstances, each should be evaluated on a case-by-case basis.
Written by: Joseph Schultz, East Team Associate
INVENTORY STORAGE? Proceed with caution.
WHAT IS YOUR RENT TO REVENUE RATIO?
One financial metric that many business owners are unfamiliar with is the industry rent-to-revenue ratio (I-RRR). The math is simple; rent paid divided by total revenue from operations. Naturally, some industries will pay a higher percentage of their revenue in rent; a retail shop will surely pay a different percentage of revenue to rent compared to a small law firm.
So what is your I-RRR? With data collected across the entire nation, manufacturers, on average, paid 1.78% of their total revenue from operations toward rent. In 2017, they paid 1.87%; 2018 they paid 1.77%; and in 2019, they paid 1.69%
The amount of rent a business must pay involves many factors. Location, site access, building quality, and, most importantly, market conditions are all factors. A business in New York City will certainly pay more in rent while a business in rural Minnesota may pay less. The formula is simple, but the underlying factors can be quite complicated. Many companies believe their I-RRR should be much lower during this economic slowdown. However, the dramatic drop in rents that occurred in 2008-2009 has not happened…yet. It is possible that large-scale business closures create urgency on behalf of landlords to make low cost deals, but it is not happening now. Stay tuned for more market information as we near the end of 2021.
Source of Data: Bizminer.com
MID-YEAR 2020 INDUSTRIAL MARKET UPDATE
Net Absorption & Vacancy Rates
Statistically, Q2 2020 is showing the effects of COVID-19 on industrial leasing activity and the industrial market. Net absorption of vacant space during Q2 2020 was only 107,345 SF compared to 829,298 SF for Q2 2019. YTD net absorption for 2020 totals 330,369 SF compared to 1,587,669 SF in 2019.
The difference in the net absorption numbers (SF) between 2019 and 2020 is significant. However, the industrial market remains healthy as demonstrated by the overall industrial vacancy rate of 5.0% through the Q2 2019 and 4.8% through Q2 2020. More specifically, YTD industrial vacancy rates reflect the continued sound condition of the market by product type:
What is Influencing this Market Condition?
Two characteristics of the current market have significantly influenced the ongoing strong conditions of the industrial market: 1) Vacancy rates were at historical lows prior to the introduction of COVID-19 and, 2) Delivery of new industrial product to the market year-over-year has moderated. YTD Q2 2019 deliveries of new industrial product totaled 1,853,203 SF. While Q2 2020 new deliveries of industrial product totaled only 906,571 SF. The combination of less new development coming on line and limited negative absorption has enabled vacancy rates to remain low. Therefore, the overall market is in a state of good health.
Current expectations between landlords and tenants do seem to significantly differ. Tenants believe the industrial market has weakened and landlords are still very bullish on the market. A major reason for this difference in perception of the market has been the media’s reporting on the commercial real estate market. Retail and office space have been significantly impacted by COVID-19, so far in 2020. COVID-19 has had a very limited impact on new industrial lease terms and conditions, at least through Q2 2020. Limited net free rent, and tenant improvement packages, combined with strong net rates seems to be the story of the day for most industrial properties. The one exception to these healthy characteristics is office/flex/showroom product. Office/flex/showroom product still requires net free rent and significant improvement dollars generally to consume a new lease.
Hottest Industrial Market Segment
One of the brightest spots in the industrial market is User/Owner building sales. The limited supply of functional industrial properties currently available For Sale, combined with the low interest rate environment for debt, has pushed User/Owner building values to all time highs. Specifically, well-located properties receive multiple offers in many instances.
What is to Come
Finally, finding a vaccine that will make the current pandemic a thing of the past will remove much of the uncertainty existing today in the economy and the commercial/industrial real estate market. If the pandemic continues on into next year, the statistics and resulting story being told may be much different than it is today.
Written by: Phil Simonet, Principal
MID-YEAR 2020 OFFICE MARKET UPDATE
UNDERUTILIZED OFFICE SPACES
The office market holds on while companies extend work from home options into 2021. While the expectation stays the same that amenities will continue to drive demand, those amenities have gone nearly unused during Q2 2020. It is anticipated that in upcoming months, those underutilized spaces will help alleviate some congestion as workers return and a relief valve is needed for the more heavily occupied tenant spaces. For now, every other chair is literally turned on end. Parking ramps and common area cafés remain empty and there isn’t a waiting line in the elevator lobby. Certainly, leased office spaces are currently underutilized. Because of this, a reduction in operating costs due to lower utility and cleaning costs could be forthcoming.
POSITIVE ABSORPTION & LOW INVENTORY
The above narrative however, is not reflective in the Q2 data as businesses, bound by leases, utilize PPP programs to keep productivity up. Unemployment surged in May 2020 to 10.4% from 2.6% in May 2019. Even with that bad news, the overall office market experienced 664,000 square feet of positive absorption ending Q2 with a total market vacancy rate of 12%. Focusing on multi-tenant properties only, the overall vacancy rate hovers at 15.7%, 0.3% up from year end 2019. The clear winner continues to be the Northwest submarket with an overall multi-tenant vacancy rate of 9.5% with overall quoted gross rental rates averaging $21.95/SF. The Northwest market is a sharp contrast to the 20% vacancy rate experienced in St Paul CBD. These two markets show quoted gross rates that are nearly equal at $21.98/SF.
Total sales volume for Q2 surpassed 1.3 million square feet. Low interest rates continue to drive sales but inventory is low and investors have few options readily available.
Returning to the office remains unknown to many employees. Much rides on finding a vaccine. Mass transit and social distancing don’t mix well and parking lots have disappeared in the downtowns. Winter is calling, so keep wearing your mask and together we will ride this out.
Written by: Nancy Powell, Vice President
SANTAMARIA ENTERPRISES EXECUTES 1031 EXCHANGE
Congratulations to Santamaria Enterprises & Paramount’s West Team for the purchase and closing of The Cliff Town Offices!
2805 Cliff Road or The Cliff Town Offices is a ½ acre, 8,420 SF multi-tenant office building. It is class B space consisting of 3 floors and built in 2004.
Paramount Real Estate broker, Jeffrey Swanson helped his client, Santamaria Enterprises, purchase this fully leased investment property as part of a 1031 exchange for the price of $1,100,000.00. The property closed on July 20, 2020 and Jeff will stay on to help with any leasing needs the asset will have in the future. Currently we have two newly renovated, 1,200 square foot suites available for lease.
For more details about the spaces available: Cliff Town Offices For Lease
Santamaria Enterprises recently sold a building in Minneapolis that included a night club owned by the landlord. The profits from this sale were rolled into this 1031 exchange, and were used to purchase the 2805 Cliff Road building. Paramount also represented them in leasing space in Richfield, MN. They use this space to operate their Latino radio station, La Raza. Tune in and enjoy the show on 95.7 FM!
EDEN PRAIRIE INDUSTRIAL BUILDING SOLD
Paramount Real Estate Corp | TCN Worldwide is very pleased to announce the Sale of 6450 Carlson Drive | Eden Prairie, MN
HISTORY OF THE PROPERTY
6450 Carlson Drive is a 42,760 multi-tenant office-warehouse building located off Highway 62 and Interstate 494. The Eden Prairie industrial building situated on 3.97 acres, was built in 1986. When a long term tenant vacated the majority of the building, Paramount was engaged to market the property. Initially they marketed it as a 36,885 square foot vacancy For Lease.
PARAMOUNT’S CLIENT & THE DEAL
Bloomington-based Paramount Real Estate Corporation brokers, Jeffrey Swanson, Associate and Fred Hedberg, President represented the seller in this transaction. FHM Partners, the sellers, consist of a local managing partner and two out of state passive owners.
“This Eden Prairie industrial building was on the market For Lease. We were in the midst of negotiating a 10-year lease for the building’s vacant space. This is when a user/buyer made an unsolicited offer to purchase the building. Paramount advised FHM Partners on the pros and cons of each opportunity. The partners decided that it was in their best interest to sell. The transaction moved forward quickly with only a slight delay due to a change in financing that pushed the closing out 10 extra days,” commented Jeff Swanson.
THE NEW OWNER
BLCKGLD, LLC, a Minnesota owned LLC, is the entity that recently purchased this office-warehouse building at 6450 Carlson Drive. With their upcoming expansion, a company with common ownership to BLCKGLD, LLC plans to remodel and occupy the entire building.
In conclusion, Paramount congratulates the West Team for closing on this deal!
PARAMOUNT RELOCATES POWERBLOCK’S HEADQUARTERS
Congratulations to Paramount’s East Team for their work to relocate PowerBlock’s headquarters to the Twin Cities! Read on to learn more about their history, dive a bit into the details of the deal, and see what is to come for PowerBlock!
PowerBlock Incorporated, the makers of the world’s best adjustable dumbbells, is currently based in Owatonna, MN; where Carl Towley founded the company in 1993. Moving PowerBlock’s headquarters to the Twin Cities will be monumental for this Minnesota grown, family-owned business! With a passion for body building and strength training, Towley observed the typical dumbbell took up too much floor space. This lead to the creation of a nested weight stack with a single handle secured by a U-shaped pin.
Paramount’s East team, John Young, Phil Simonet, and Joseph Schultz, were able to assist with consolidating three of PowerBlock’s locations into one! The new building will allow PowerBlock to unlock operational efficiencies not currently recognized. In addition, the new facility will allow PowerBlock to streamline their process; above all, boosting their bottom line.
What’s to Come
PowerBlock has BIG plans to make the space their own! Moreover, they will use the space as a way to brand themselves and display their company culture. In conclusion, their hope is that the updated space will allow them to attract the talent that will help execute their long-term strategic plan.
We cannot wait to see what the future has in store for them!
FIND OUT MORE ABOUT POWERBLOCK:
FORMER KABUKI RESTAURANT SITE SOLD IN EDEN PRAIRIE
Site Location: 6534 Flying Cloud Drive | Eden Prairie, MN
Paramount Real Estate Corp listed the former Kabuki Restaurant site for sale in the fall of 2018. The 2.5 acre site provides easy access to Crosstown 62 and Hwy 169. It is located between Shady Oak Road, on the West, and Valley View Road, on the South.
Finding the Right Fit…
Due to its location, interest was high and the site tours were frequent. Interested users proposed many different uses. These included a dog daycare, pickle-ball courts, various types of restaurants and retail, a daycare, a brewery, storage facilities and office space. Many also wanted to use the site for outdoor storage, but current zoning does not allow this. In addition, the City was changing the zoning from Highway Commercial to Industrial Tech Flex. That alone prohibited many of the uses proposed. The Seller actually agreed to two separate purchase agreements. The agreements were then subsequently voided because the city discouraged both users’ proposed plans.
Challenges to Overcome…
The sales process was an interesting one. The building was in poor condition with the HVAC, roof, electrical, plumbing and restrooms needing updating. The seller held an online auction to clear out much of the remaining kitchen equipment and assorted restaurant accessories. Unfortunately what followed the auction was a bit devastating; vandalism and unsold stolen equipment. As if that wasn’t enough, the former Kabuki site had household junk dumped and abandoned on four different occasions.
A Closed Transaction…
In December 2019, we finalized yet another purchase agreement for the former Kabuki Restaurant site. The Coronavirus did have an effect as well, delaying the normal due diligence process and typical closing. The result… business closings and financial issues. Amending and extending the purchase agreement three times also didn’t speed anything up. The sale did ultimately close in June 2020.
It was a long sales process! Thankfully the Sellers as well as their legal counsel, were patient and willing to work toward a final agreement. We commend them for their willingness to work through the many problems and issues that occurred throughout the process. That being said, all parties are relieved that the property finally closed.
Written By: Bob Johnston | Vice President
Q1-2020 Office Market Report
According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), the unemployment rate for the Mpls-St Paul metropolitan statistical area (MSA) decreased 30 basis points to 3.1% for February 2020 from 3.4% for February 2019. The unemployment rate for the US was 3.5% in February 2020 down from 3.8% last year. State of Minnesota unemployment rate was 3.1%. The Mpls-St Paul MSA saw an increase in job growth but a decrease in office job growth in professional, financial and information dropping 1,200 during the same period.
The Mpls-St Paul office market, consisting of over 125 msf of space in seven counties across the metro topping 133,000 sf negative absorption for Q1 2020. The vacancy rate for the market stands at 12.0% for all properties. Multi- tenant properties posted 15.6% vacancy with over 48,800 sf positive absorption. The average asking lease rate for Mpls-St Paul came in at $24.59 psf FSG. During Q1 2020 there were 22 construction projects throughout the market totaling just shy of 2.9.
During the Q1 2020 the market experienced over 1.2 msf of leasing activity in 283 transactions. Class A properties vacancy rate started the year at 9.0% for all properties and 13.1% for multi-tenant properties. For multi-tenant properties the Northwest market posted the lowest vacancy rate at 9.7%, Mpls CBD vacancy was 16.2%, St Paul CBD was 20.5% and suburban markets was 14.4%. Mpls CBD Core market posted the most positive absorption of 141,000 sf with Merrill Corp lease of 78,000 sf topping the list. Southwest market posted the largest negative absorption of 182,000 sf for all property types primarily due to Comcast vacating 108,000 sf and Cliqstudios vacating 104,000 sf in a single tenant properties.
Employment: up 1,969,253
Area Unemployment: down 3.1
U.S. Unemployment: down 3.5
Office Jobs: down 516,60
Total Inventory: 126,158,494 sf
Asking Rate: $24.59
New Construction: 2,895,944 sf
MNCAR: Q1-2020 Industrial Market Report
According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), the unemployment rate for the Mpls-St Paul metropolitan statistical area (MSA) decreased 30 basis points. This is 3.1% for February 2020 which is down from 3.4% for February 2019. The unemployment rate for the US was 3.5% in February 2020 down from 3.8% last year. State of Minnesota unemployment rate was 3.1%. The Mpls-St Paul MSA saw an increase in job growth but a decrease in industrial jobs in manufacturing dropping 400 during the same period.
The Mpls-St Paul industrial market consists of 258 msf in eight counties across the metro and posted over 223,000 sf of positive absorption for Q1 2020 while 184,000 sf positive absorption for multi-tenant properties. The overall vacancy rate for the market stands at 4.7% and multi-tenant vacancy was 7.4% for Q1 2020. The average asking lease low rate was $5.81 and high rate was $9.35 NNN for Mpls- St Paul. To date, there are 23 construction projects throughout the market totaling just under 3.7 msf and 5 properties were delivered this quarter with 575,902 sf.
At the close of Q1 2020, the market experienced over 2.2 msf of leasing activity in 194 transactions with AbelConn leasing the largest space of 110,329 sf in the Northwest market. The Southeast market vacancy rate being the tightest at 4.1% for all properties while the Northwest market topped at 6%. The Northeast market had four of the top five property spots in absorption with Bluvera leasing 93,000 sf, Hajoca leasing 75,845 sf and Lindenmeyr Munrow leasing 60,102 sf. The Northwest market experienced the largest vacancy of Honeywell with 250,000 sf. The Southwest market held the next two spots with Sams Club vacating 180,000 sf and Quad Graphics/ American Color vacating 160,000 sf.
Total Inventory: 258,482,636 sf
Total # of Bldgs: 3,004
Asking Rate Low: $5.81 NNN
Asking Rate High: $9.35 NNN
Under Construction: 3,728,557 sf