Q3 2020 INDUSTRIAL MARKET UPDATE

Economic Overview

According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), the unemployment rate for the Mpls-St Paul metropolitan statistical area (MSA) increased 500 basis points to 7.9% for August 2020 from 2.9% for August 2019.  The unemployment rate for the US was 8.4% in August 2020 up from 3.7% last year.  State of Minnesota unemployment rate was 7.4%.  The Mpls-St Paul MSA saw a decrease in job growth. Also a decrease in industrial job growth in manufacturing dropping 11,200 during the same period.

Market Overview

The Mpls-St Paul industrial market consists of 261 msf in eight counties across the metro and posted over 682,000 sf of positive absorption for Q3 2020 while multi-tenant properties posted 152,000 sf positive absorption.  The overall vacancy rate for the market stands at 4.9% and multi-tenant vacancy increased to 8.0% for Q3 2020.  The average asking lease low rate was $5.97 and high rate was $9.57 NNN for Mpls-St Paul. To date, there are 19 construction projects throughout the market totaling 2.5 msf and 17 properties were delivered year-to-date with 2.1 msf.

Market Highlights

At the close of Q3 2020, the market experienced over 2.5 msf of leasing activity in 180 transactions.  ShopJimmy was the largest space leasing 413,000 sf in the Southeast market.  The Southeast and Northeast markets vacancy rate being the tightest at 3.9% and 3.8% for all properties while the Southwest market topped at 6.6%.  The Northeast market had two of the top five property spots in absorption with Target buying 399,000 sf and Tomas Commercial buying 140,000 sf property.  The Northeast market experienced the largest vacancy of Modern Tool with 180,000 sf.  Sixty three properties sold with over 2 msf for $124.8 million.

Methodology

The Mpls-St Paul market consists of single and multi-tenant industrial buildings 20,000 sf or larger or part of a complex larger than 20,000 sf.  The geographic area includes Anoka, Carver, Dakota, Hennepin, Ramsey, Scott, Washington and Wright counties.  The tracked set does not include selfstorage facilities and non-conforming property types such as grain elevators or fuel storage facilities.  All tracked properties are existing. Statistically, net absorption will be calculated based on occupancy change during the current quarter.  Asking lease rates are based on an average asking rate and noted on a NNN basis.

Reach out to one of our Industrial Agents with questions:
Fred Hedberg, CCIM, SIOR, Principal
Phil Simonet, Principal
John Young, CCIM, Vice President
Joseph Schultz, Associate
Jack Buttenhoff, Associate

View Full Report: Q3 2020 MNCAR Industrial Market Report

Source: Minnesota Association of Realtors (MNCAR)